DEFCON-D: CRITICAL • 8 of 9 factors active
The DEFCON-D system tracks 9 objective economic factors. The level is determined by a simple count — not subjective scoring.
Historical baseline. Minimal structural pressures on dollar stability.
Multiple factors emerging. Increased monitoring warranted.
Significant structural pressures. Historical precedent for policy response.
Factor count matches conditions that preceded 1933 and 1971 policy shifts.
Current Status: 8 of 9 factors are active as of February 2026. Only the Dollar Index (DXY) remains above the 100 threshold.
Each factor is binary: either the objective threshold is met, or it isn't. No subjective scoring. No opinion. Just data.
US Debt-to-GDP Ratio
Fed Balance Sheet
Central Bank Gold Buying
BRICS De-Dollarization
State Sound Money Laws
Oil Priced in Non-USD
Treasury Auction Stress
Dollar Index Structural Decline
Fed Independence Threat
If the US government revalued its gold reserves to partially back the national debt, what would gold need to be priced at? Adjust the variables and see the math.
Required Gold Price
$58,891
per troy ounce
Current Gold Price
$5,075
per troy ounce
Price Gap
+1060%
11.6x current price
The Math
$38.5T debt × 40% coverage = $15.4T to back with gold
$15.4T ÷ 261.5M oz (US reserves) = $58,891/oz
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The last two times multiple structural factors aligned, the U.S. government adjusted the dollar's relationship to gold. These are not predictions—they are documented historical precedents.
Executive Order 6102 required citizens to surrender gold. The government then revalued gold from $20.67 to $35 per ounce—a 69% devaluation of the dollar overnight.
Dollar purchasing power dropped 41% instantly
President Nixon ended gold convertibility, closing the "gold window." The dollar became a pure fiat currency, leading to the 1970s inflation crisis.
Gold rose from $35 to $850 by 1980 (2,329% increase)
Educational Note: Historical patterns do not guarantee future events. This information is provided for research and educational purposes only, not as financial advice or predictions.
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Important Disclosures: The DEFCON-D Risk Tracker is an educational tool that monitors objective economic factors. It is not financial advice, investment guidance, or a prediction of future events. The DEFCON-D system measures factor count (0-9), not probability or severity. Past monetary events do not guarantee future outcomes. Always consult qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions. This site participates in affiliate programs and may earn commissions at no additional cost to you. Terms · Privacy · Full Disclosure
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